•

Senegal at #1 is the clean “champion profile”: 7 matches, 6W-1D-0L, 13 goals, and a strong 1.86 frequency translating into a 70.42 rating. What stands out is the zero losses plus steady scoring — it’s not the highest goals total, but it’s the most stable run.

•

Nigeria are #2 with the most goals among the top four (14) and the best frequency (2.00), yet they’re still just behind #1 because they drew twice (still 0 losses). Meanwhile **Egypt and **Morocco sit #3–#4 with fewer goals (9) and lower frequency (1.29)—showing wins + output matter more than “big-name aura.”

•

The #5–#8 block shows two different ways your rating stays high: **Algeria (#5) are “efficient winners” (4W in 5, 8 goals, 1.60 frequency), while **Ivory Coast (#6) score more (9) with a higher 1.80 frequency, but carry an extra draw/loss. Then Mali (#7) proves draws alone don’t carry you: 0 wins, 4 draws and only 3 goals still drops them below teams with real win volume.

•

Once you hit ranks ~9–16, the table becomes “small sample vs impact.” Teams with only 4 matches can still land around 59–61 if they either score (South Africa 6 goals, frequency 1.50) or stay stable (Tunisia 7 goals, frequency 1.75). But low-output draw-heavy runs (Tanzania 0 wins, 3 goals) sink quickly because there isn’t enough decisive match swing to offset the record.

•

Your team model doesn’t behave like a classic league table — it behaves like a “tournament value index.” The biggest drivers are (a) avoid losses, (b) stack wins, then (c) push goals/frequency to separate teams that played the same number of matches. That’s why an unbeaten 7-match run with moderate scoring beats higher-frequency teams that drop results, and why 4–5 match teams need either goals or results to stay mid-pack.